An econometric analysis of burglary in Ireland

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dc.contributor.author Denny, Kevin
dc.contributor.author Harmon, Colm
dc.contributor.author Lydon, Reamonn
dc.date.accessioned 2009-03-09T15:12:15Z
dc.date.available 2009-03-09T15:12:15Z
dc.date.copyright UCD School of Economics 2004 en
dc.date.issued 2004-05
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/10197/941
dc.description.abstract This paper outlines an econometric model of the level of burglary in Ireland between 1952 and 1998. We explain the evolution of the trend in Burglary in terms of demographic factors: in this case the share of young males in the population, the macro-economy in the form of consumer expenditure and two characteristics of the criminal justice system : the detection rate for these crimes and the size of the prison population. The share of young males is associated with higher levels of these crimes. Imprisonment and detection act as powerful forces for reducing crimes, the effects of aggregate consumption are more difficult to pin down but we show that higher spending is associated with more lucrative but probably fewer crimes. One somewhat surprising result is that we were unable to find any robust effect from direct measures of labour market activity such as unemployment rates or wage levels. en
dc.format.extent 469327 bytes
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf
dc.language.iso en en
dc.publisher University College Dublin. School of Economics en
dc.relation.ispartofseries UCD Centre for Economic Research Working Paper Series en
dc.relation.ispartofseries WP04/16 en
dc.relation.uri An econometric analysis of burglary in Ireland (2004, Geary Institute) en
dc.relation.uri http://hdl.handle.net/10197/157 en
dc.subject.lcsh Burglary--Ireland en
dc.subject.lcsh Crime--Sociological aspects en
dc.subject.lcsh Burglary--Econometric models en
dc.title An econometric analysis of burglary in Ireland en
dc.type Working Paper en
dc.internal.authorurl Kevin Denny (web page) en
dc.internal.authorurl http://www.ucd.ie/research/people/economics/drkevinjmdenny/ en
dc.internal.authorurl Colm Harmon (web page) en
dc.internal.authorurl http://www.ucd.ie/research/people/gearyinstitute/professorcolmharmon/home/ en
dc.internal.authorid UCD0005 en
dc.internal.authorid UCD0009 en
dc.internal.availability Full text available en
dc.internal.webversions Publisher's version en
dc.internal.webversions http://www.ucd.ie/economics/research/papers/2004/WP04.16.pdf en
dc.status Not peer reviewed en
dc.neeo.contributor Denny|Kevin|aut|UCD0005
dc.neeo.contributor Harmon|Colm|aut|UCD0009
dc.neeo.contributor Lydon|Reamonn|aut|


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