Did political constraints bind during transition? Evidence from Czech elections, 1990–2002

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dc.contributor.author Doyle, Orla
dc.contributor.author Walsh, Patrick P.
dc.date.accessioned 2008-09-26T14:17:01Z
dc.date.available 2008-09-26T14:17:01Z
dc.date.copyright Copyright 2007 The Authors en
dc.date.issued 2007
dc.identifier.citation Economics of Transition en
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/10197/549
dc.description.abstract Many theoretical models of transition are driven by the assumption that economic decision making is subject to political constraints. In this paper we test whether the 'winners' and 'losers' of economic reform influenced voting behaviour in the first five national elections in the Czech Republic. We propose that voters, taking stock of endowments from the planning era, could predict whether they would become winners or losers of transition. Using survey data we measure the degree to which regions were 'not afraid' or 'afraid' of economic reform in 1990. We define the former as potential 'winners' who should vote for pro-reform parties and the latter as potential 'losers' who should support left-wing parties. Using election results and economic indicators at the regional level, we demonstrate that there is persistence in support for pro-reform and communist parties which is driven by prospective voting based on initial conditions in 1990. We find that regional unemployment rates in 2002 are good predictors of voting patterns in 1990 and provide empirical evidence that political constraints bind during transition. en
dc.format.extent 4304 bytes
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf
dc.language.iso en en
dc.publisher Blackwell en
dc.relation.isversionof Doyle, Orla and Walsh, Patrick P. (2005) "Did political constraints bind during transition? Evidence from Czech elections 1990-2002". IZA Discussion Paper Series, Institute for the Study of Labor en
dc.rights.uri Publisher's copyright policy en
dc.rights.uri www.blackwellpublishing.com/static/journal_rights.asp?site=1 en
dc.subject Political constraints en
dc.subject Prospective economic voting en
dc.subject Initial conditions en
dc.subject.lcsh Voting research--Czech Republic en
dc.subject.lcsh Economic policy--Czech Republic en
dc.subject.lcsh Unemployment--Regional disparities en
dc.title Did political constraints bind during transition? Evidence from Czech elections, 1990–2002 en
dc.type Journal Article en
dc.internal.authorurl Orla Doyle (web page) en
dc.internal.authorurl http://geary.ucd.ie/Table/About-Items/?ref=7484006 en
dc.internal.authorurl Patrick P. Walsh (web page) en
dc.internal.authorurl http://geary.ucd.ie/index.php/Table/About-Items/?ref=13622318 en
dc.internal.authorcontactother Email: orla.doyle@ucd.ie; Tel: +353 1 716 7637 en
dc.internal.authorcontactother Email: ppwalsh@ucd.ie; Tel: +353 1 7168435 en
dc.internal.authorid UCD0007 en
dc.internal.authorid UCD0027 en
dc.internal.availability Full text not available en
dc.internal.webversions Publisher's version en
dc.internal.webversions http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0351.2007.00293.x en
dc.status Peer reviewed en
dc.identifier.volume 15 en
dc.identifier.issue 3 en
dc.identifier.startpage 575 en
dc.identifier.endpage 601 en
dc.identifier.doi 10.1111/j.1468-0351.2007.00293.x
dc.neeo.contributor Walsh|Patrick P.|aut|UCD0027
dc.neeo.contributor Doyle|Orla|aut|UCD0007

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