Browsing Economics Working Papers & Policy Papers, September 2011 -- present by Author "Kelly, Morgan"

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Browsing Economics Working Papers & Policy Papers, September 2011 -- present by Author

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Agricultural output, calories and living standards in England before and during the Industrial Revolution

Kelly, Morgan ; Ó Gráda, Cormac (University College Dublin. School of Economics, 2012-04)

This paper surveys the results of four recent, separate attempts at estimating agricultural output and food availability in England and Wales at points between the Middle Ages and the Industrial Revolution. It highlights ...
Change points and temporal dependence in reconstructions of annual temperature : did Europe experience a little Ice Age?

Kelly, Morgan ; Ó Gráda, Cormac (University College Dublin. School of Economics, 2012-03)

We analyze the timing and extent of northern European temperature falls during the Little Ice Age, using standard temperature reconstructions. However, we can find little evidence of long swings or structural breaks in ...
The waning of the little ice age

Kelly, Morgan ; Ó Gráda, Cormac (University College Dublin. School of Economics, 2012-04)

The ramifications of the Little Ice Age, a period of cooling temperatures straddling several centuries in northwestern Europe, reach far beyond meteorology into economic, political, and cultural history. The LIA has spawned ...