An econometric analysis of burglary in Ireland

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dc.contributor.author Denny, Kevin
dc.contributor.author Lydon, Reamonn en
dc.contributor.author Harmon, Colm
dc.date.accessioned 2008-05-22T16:29:00Z
dc.date.available 2008-05-22T16:29:00Z
dc.date.copyright UCD Geary Institute en
dc.date.issued 2004
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/10197/157
dc.description.abstract This paper outlines an econometric model of the level of burglary in Ireland between 1952 and 1998. We explain the evolution of the trend in Burglary in terms of demographic factors: in this case the share of young males in the population, the macro-economy in the form of consumer expenditure and two characteristics of the criminal justice system : the detection rate for these crimes and the size of the prison population. The share of young males is associated with higher levels of these crimes. Imprisonment and detection act as powerful forces for reducing crimes, the effects of aggregate consumption are more difficult to pin down but we show that higher spending is associated with more lucrative but probably fewer crimes. One somewhat surprising result is that we were unable to find any robust effect from direct measures of labour market activity such as unemployment rates or wage levels. en
dc.format.extent 4304 bytes
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf
dc.language.iso en en
dc.publisher University College Dublin; Institute for the Study of Social Change (Geary Institute) en
dc.relation.ispartofseries ISSC Discussion Paper series en
dc.relation.ispartofseries ISSC WP 2004/04 en
dc.relation.uri An econometric analysis of burglary in Ireland (May 2004, Centre for Economic Research)
dc.relation.uri http://hdl.handle.net/10197/941
dc.subject.lcsh Burglary--Ireland en
dc.subject.lcsh Crime--Sociological aspects en
dc.subject.lcsh Burglary--Econometric models
dc.title An econometric analysis of burglary in Ireland en
dc.type Working Paper en
dc.internal.authorurl Kevin Denny (web page) en
dc.internal.authorurl http://www.ucd.ie/economic/staff/kdenny/kdenny.html en
dc.internal.authorurl Colm Harmon (web page) en
dc.internal.authorurl http://www.ucd.ie/economic/staff/charmon/harmon.html en
dc.internal.authorcontactother Kevin Denny - Email: kevin.denny@ucd.ie; Tel: +353 1 716 4632 en
dc.internal.authorcontactother Colm Harmon - Email: colm.harmon@ucd.ie; Tel: +3531 7164614 en
dc.internal.authorid UCD0005 en
dc.internal.authorid UCD0009 en
dc.internal.availability Full text available en
dc.internal.webversions Publisher's version en
dc.internal.webversions http://www.ucd.ie/geary/publications/2004/crime.pdf en
dc.status Not peer reviewed en
dc.neeo.contributor Denny|Kevin|aut|UCD0005
dc.neeo.contributor Harmon|Colm|aut|UCD0009
dc.neeo.contributor Lydon|Reamonn|aut|


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