We use a very general multivariate GARCH-M model and G7 monthly data covering the 1957-2003 period to test for the impact of real and nominal macroeconomic uncertainty on inflation and output growth.Our evidence supports ...
We use a very general bivariate GARCH-M model and EU monthly data covering the 1962-2003 period to test for the impact of real (output growth) and nominal (inflation) macroeconomic uncertainty on inflation and output growth. ...
Cotter, John; Longin, François(University College Dublin. School of Business. Centre for Financial Markets, 2004-06-14)
Both in practice and in the academic literature, models for setting margin requirements in futures markets use daily closing price changes. However, financial markets have recently shown high intraday volatility, which ...
Cotter, John(University College Dublin. School of Business. Centre for Financial Markets, 2004)
Key to the imposition of appropriate minimum capital requirements on a daily
basis requires accurate volatility estimation. Here, measures are presented based on discrete estimation of aggregated high frequency UK futures ...
Edelman, David(University College Dublin. School of Business. Centre for Financial Markets, 2004-04-18)
A quantity known as the Local Cross-Entropy (LCE) for a density is proposed, defined
to be the local derivative of the Cross-Entropy between a density and a ’kernel-smoothed’ version of itself, with respect to bandwidth ...
Cotter, John; Stevenson, Simon(University College Dublin. School of Business. Centre for Financial MarketsUniversity College Dublin. School of Business, 2006-11)
One stylized feature of financial volatility impacting the modeling process is long memory. This paper examines long memory for alternative risk measures, observed absolute and squared returns for Daily REITs and compares ...
Cotter, John(University College Dublin. School of Business. Centre for Financial Markets, 2005-04-06)
This letter uses the Block Maxima Extreme Value approach to quantify catastrophic
risk in international equity markets. Risk measures are generated from a set threshold
of the distribution of returns that avoids the ...
Cotter, John(University College Dublin. School of Business. Centre for Financial Markets, 2004)
Extreme asset price movements have major consequences for an economy’s financial stability and monetary policies. The recent equity price movements associated with financial crises appear to be more pronounced and policy ...
This paper assesses the response of Real Estate Investment Trusts (REIT's) to unexpected changes in US monetary policy. A critical element in this study is the use of futures markets to isolate unexpected changes in the ...
We examine the impact and possible pillovers effects of unanticipated monetary policy on international bond returns. First, we decompose international bond returns into news regarding future returns, real interest rates ...
We investigate the influence of unanticipated changes in US monetary policy on Equity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REIT’s). Although a number of studies have
investigated the issue of interest rate changes, the effect ...
Cotter, John; Stevenson, Simon(University College Dublin. School of Business. Centre for Financial Markets, 2005-04-25)
This paper examines volatility in REITs using a multivariate GARCH based model. The Multivariate VAR-GARCH technique documents the return and volatility linkages between REIT sub-sectors and also examines the influence of ...
Cripwell, Peter; Edelman, David(University College Dublin. School of Business. Centre for Financial Markets, 2008-04-02)
In this paper new results are documented regarding the short term evolution of global short term interest rates. Much work has been carried out concerning the evolution of interest rates over long time scales, on the order ...
There has recently been considerable interest in the potential adverse effects associated with
excessive uncertainty in energy futures markets. Theoretical models of investment under uncertainty
predict that increased ...
O'Sullivan, Conall(University College Dublin. School of Business. Centre for Financial Markets, 2007)
The Cox, Ingersoll and Ross (1985) term structure model describes the stochastic evolution of government bond yield curves over time using a square root Orstein-Uhlenbeck diffusion process, whilst
imposing cross-sectional ...
O'Sullivan, Conall(University College Dublin. School of Business. Centre for Financial Markets, 2004-12)
A model is developed that can price path dependent options when the underlying
process is an exponential Lévy process with closed form conditional characteristic
function. The model is an extension of a recent quadrature ...
Denvir, Emily; Hutson, Elaine(University College Dublin. School of Business. Centre for Financial Markets, 2004)
We examine the performance and diversification potential of 332 funds of hedge funds (FOHFs) for the period from January 1990 to May 2003. Consistent with prior studies, we find that FOHFs appear to underperform the hedge ...
Siddiqui, Afzal S.(University College Dublin. School of Business. Centre for Financial Markets, 2004-04-30)
The degree to which any deregulated market functions efficiently often depends on the ability of market agents to respond to fluctuating conditions. Many restructured electricity markets, however, have little demand response. ...
We present an acceleration technique, effective for explicit finite difference schemes
describing diffusive processes with nearly symmetric operators, called Super-Time-
Stepping (STS). The technique is applied to the ...
Bredin, Donal; Cotter, John(University College Dublin. School of Business. Centre for Financial Markets, 2006)
This paper compares real and nominal foreign exchange volatility effects on exports. Using a flexible lag version of the
Goldstein-Khan two-country imperfect substitutes model for bilateral trade, we identify the overall ...