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(2010-04)The COST-731 action is focused on uncertainty propagation in hydro-meteorological forecasting chains. Goals and activities of the action Working Group 2 are presented. Five foci for discussion and research have been ...
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(Elsevier, 2010-05)Quantifying uncertainty in flood forecasting is a difficult task, given the multiple and strongly nonlinear model components involved in such a system. Much effort has been and is being invested in the quest of dealing ...
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(Wiley, 2010-04)COST funding allows European scientists establish international links, communicate their work to colleagues and promote international research cooperation. COST731 was established to study the propagation of uncertainty ...
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(World Meteorological Organization, 2010-06)Remarkable advances in weather forecasts during the past half-century have brought great benefits to humanity. Accurate forecasts save many lives, and early warnings mitigate the worst effects of extreme weather events, ...
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(Springer, 2012)The last ten years has seen the introduction and rapid growth of a market in weather derivatives, financial instruments whose payoffs are determined by the outcome of an underlying weather metric. These instruments allow ...
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(Springer, 2010-08)The spectrum of atmospheric motions is vast, encompassing phenomena having periods ranging from seconds to millennia. The motions of interest to the forecaster typically have time-scales of a day or longer, but the ...
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(Cambridge University Press, 2010-12)The development of computer models for numerical simulation of the atmosphere and oceans is one of the great scientific triumphs of the past fifty years. These models have added enormously to our understanding of the ...
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(Wiley, 2011-04)We present a new method of reducing the error in predicted wind speed, thus enabling better management of wind energy facilities. A numerical weather prediction model, COSMO, was used to produce 48 h forecast data every ...
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(Wiley, 2011-04)A filtering integration scheme is developed, using a modification of the contour used to invert the Laplace transform (LT). It is shown to eliminate components with frequencies higher than a specified cut-off value. Thus ...
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(Wiley, 2011-04)In this paper we combine the Laplace transform (LT) scheme with a semi- Lagrangian advection scheme, and implement it in a shallow water model. It is compared to a reference model using the semi-implicit (SI) scheme, ...