Remarkable advances in weather forecasts
during the past half-century
have brought great benefits to humanity.
Accurate forecasts save many
lives, and early warnings mitigate
the worst effects of extreme weather
events, ...
The last ten years has seen the introduction and rapid growth of a market in weather derivatives, financial instruments whose payoffs are determined by the outcome of an underlying weather metric. These instruments allow ...
The spectrum of atmospheric motions is vast, encompassing phenomena having periods ranging
from seconds to millennia. The motions of interest to the forecaster typically have time-scales of a day or longer, but the ...
The development of computer models for numerical simulation of the atmosphere
and oceans is one of the great scientific triumphs of the past fifty years. These
models have added enormously to our understanding of the ...
We present a new method of reducing the error in predicted wind speed, thus enabling better management of wind energy
facilities. A numerical weather prediction model, COSMO, was used to produce 48 h forecast data every ...
A filtering integration scheme is developed, using a modification of the contour
used to invert the Laplace transform (LT). It is shown to eliminate components
with frequencies higher than a specified cut-off value. Thus ...
In this paper we combine the Laplace transform (LT) scheme with a semi-
Lagrangian advection scheme, and implement it in a shallow water model. It
is compared to a reference model using the semi-implicit (SI) scheme, ...
A major landslide event occurred at Pollatomish, County Mayo, Ireland in
September 2003, during a period of intense rainfall. It comprised about 30 significant
individual longitudinal planar type slides of peat and ...
Seven adaptive approaches to post-processing wind speed forecasts are discussed and compared. 48-hour forecasts are run at horizontal resolutions of 7 km and 3 km for a domain centred over Ireland. Forecast wind speeds ...
The COST-731 action is focused on uncertainty propagation in hydro-meteorological forecasting chains. Goals and activities of the action Working Group 2 are presented. Five foci for discussion and research have been ...