Browsing by Subject "E37"

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Are some forecasters really better than others?

D'Agostino, Antonello ; McQuinn, Kieran ; Whelan, Karl (University College Dublin. School of Economics, 2010-04)

In any dataset with individual forecasts of economic variables, some forecasters will perform better than others. However, it is possible that these ex post differences reflect sampling variation and thus overstate the ...