Estimates of the J-curve that do not explicitly account for feedback effects may give misleading results. In the absence of a structural model, a VAR approach is recommended to solve this problem.
We describe the design, construction, estimation and testing of the Irish HERMIN model. The specific selection of model features from the general HERMIN outline is related to the structure of the Irish economy. The standard ...
Cotter, John(University College Dublin. School of Business. Centre for Financial Markets, 2004)
Accurate forecasting of risk is the key to successful risk management techniques.
Using the largest stock index futures from twelve European bourses, this paper
presents VaR measures based on their unconditional and ...
Accurate forecasting of risk is the key to successful risk management techniques. Using the largest stock index futures from 12 European bourses, this paper presents VaR measures based on their unconditional and conditional ...